Canada’s wheat harvest has exceeded earlier expectations and set a new record, according to the latest Statistics Canada figures.
The federal agency’s final crop production report for the 2025 growing season on Thursday put national all wheat production at 39.954 million tonnes. That is well above StatsCan’s model-based September estimate of 36.623 million, up 11.2% from last year’s crop of 35.938 million, and tops the previous high of 37.589 million set in 2013.
Spring wheat production surged to 29.258 million tonnes, far above the September projection of 26.607 million and 10.3% above the previous year’s 26.515 million.
National durum wheat output rose to 7.134 million tonnes, exceeding the September estimate of 6.534 million tonnes and up 11.8% from last year.
Winter wheat production reached 3.56 million tonnes, up modestly from the September estimate of 3.481 million but still 17% higher than a year ago, driven by an expansion in harvested acres despite lower yields.
At 56 bu/acre, the average 2025 all wheat yield was revised up from 51.1 bu in September and well above 50.2 bu last year. That tops the previous high of 53.5 bu/acre achieved in 2013.
The average spring wheat yield is estimated at a record 58.8 bu/acre, up from 53.1 bu in September and 52.1 bu last year, while the average durum yield climbed to 40.9 bu from 37.7 bu in September and 37 bu a year ago but still well below the 2016 high of 49.5 bu.
The national average winter wheat yield came in at 85.5 bu/acre, compared to 82.1 bu in September and 86.8 bu in 2024.
Saskatchewan all wheat production is now estimated at 18.246 million tonnes, sharply above StatsCan’s September estimate of 16.738 million. The new total is also 6.1% higher than last year, despite a 4.3% decline in harvested area to 13.5 million acres. The jump was driven by stronger yields. Saskatchewan’s average wheat yield has risen to 49.7 bu/acre, up from 44.7 bu/acre in September and 10.9% higher than a year ago — more than offsetting acreage losses.
Alberta’s all wheat output has risen to 12.283 million tonnes, above StatsCan’s September projection of 11.129 million tonnes, and marking a 23.6% jump from last year’s harvest of 9.939 million. The increase reflects both stronger yields and expanded acreage. Yields climbed to 57 bu/acre, exceeding the earlier estimate of 52.5 bu/acre and representing an 18.8% year-over-year increase, while harvested area expanded 4% to 7.9 million acres.
Manitoba’s wheat crop has improved to 5.863 million tonnes, surpassing the September forecast of 5.41 million tonnes and posting a 2.2% year-over-year increase. The rise came despite only modest yield improvements.
Provincial yields reached 65.6 bu/acre, slightly higher than September expectations, while harvested area increased 1.9% on the year to 3.3 million acres, helping to push production upward.
Ontario all wheat output is estimated at 3.03 million tonnes, up from 2.865 million in September and 2.56 million in 2024. Winter wheat production, at 2.889 million tonnes, was revised up from 2.767 million earlier and well above 2.429 million the previous year. The average winter wheat yield in the province is pegged at 96.6 bu/acre, an improvement over 91.3 bu in September and 95.8 bu a year ago.
